HomeMy WebLinkAboutAgenda Report - March 5, 2003 I-01IT! I..::...
3ACKGROUND INFORMATION. Mayor Hitchcock has requested that the City Manager
provide an update regarding the State budget during
each Council meeting,
Funding. None
TfjaQk you,
7
,fanet S. Keeler
Deputy City Manager
APPROVED:
H Dixon Flynn w4 City
2#19#03 $iate Budget Update councum.doc
02127/03
y
mj�
o. Many Threats Exist
California's Dramatic
Revenue
Fall4ff
General Fund Revenues From Major Taxes
(In Billions)
0
M
M
91
98-94 95-96 97-98 99-00 01-0AO-"
OR
Total State Spending Over Time
YEE:
1993-94 Through
..
Qn Billions)
$120
100
sm
0
IN
NE
93-94 95-96 97-93 99-00 01-02 03-04
Index Value = 100 in 1993-94
Spending Index
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
93-94
Tutsi State Spending
Total Spending
95-96 97-98 99-00 0102 03-04
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OV
ME
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2003-04
I
Correctiom�
Social Services
Higher Education
M*m
Overarching Considerations
9
Relating to Realignment
* Programs, Not Taxes, ShouId Be Focuz
>- Counties Need Program Control
4WA
as m 0 FA
Mewignment
Worth Consiaering
LL Lana==
Id Alt
AO-
Year -to -Year Percent Change, by Quartea
15%
IN
m
R
-10
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
L- 2000 -J L- 2001 -J L- 2002 -J L- 2003 --J L-. 2004 --J
Prof its on Upswing
Percent
Change
2%
15
0
5
97 98 99 00 01 02 08 04
Forecast
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Lodi New*.Sen.
Headlines:
Qt*ate�s 624
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Thursday, February 27, 2003
Qpqnly
State credit rating won't improve,
analyst says
By Jgwiifqr F'e
,arson t3onnttlNews-Sentinel Staff Writer
The state's top legislative analyst came to Lodi on
Wednesday with some disheartening news., Because of this
years budget shortfalls, the state's battered credit rating will
likely not improve anytime soon.
Elizabeth Hill, who has headed the legislative analyst's
office sinoe 1986, took time out of her busy schedule to sit
down and informally discuss California's budget shortfall
and its effect on Lodi and other San Joaquin Valley
communities.
What she got was more of a grumbling session from various
groups already feeling the penny pinching.
Hill told elected city,
school and county
officials at the briefing
that Gov, Gray Davis'
proposed budget would
work only if it was
passed by the state
Legislature as is -- and
that includes raising
taxes,
"Does the governor's
plan pencil out? Only if
dramatic action is
taken," she said.
Last week, Hill's office released its annual analysis of the
governor's budget claiming the deficit was overstated by
Davis by about $10 billion. The governor estimated this
year's budget shortfalls at roughly $35 million.
"There's no silver bullet in this budget and no easy solution,'
Hill said.
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Page I of 3
http://www.lodi.iiews.com/display/inii–news/03 --- hil1-030227,txt 2/27/2003
Lodinews,com - News
The Legislative Analyst's Office has been providing fiscal
UftYPOR
and policy advice to the Legislature for more than 55 years,
ARVY-1065AP
to be a lot of hard swallowing that noods to be done."
hAnote-Iong
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(-(ill's visit to Lodi was organized by Sen. Chuck Poochigian,
rMeplion
R -Fresno, who also attended the Lodi briefing, which was
recorded and will be broadcast by AT&T Broadband on
Photos
Friday. Representatives came from as far as Ceres and
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qmtrol VaRey
Sonora.
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"The magnitude of the problem is so great," Poochigian. said
Wednesday. "It's not easy to find a solution. There's going
Stucktjqn
V ygmgrj's
to be a lot of hard swallowing that noods to be done."
P-"i-QUA-4"te
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Other budget issues brought to the table Wednesday
rMeplion
'included the proposed vehicle license fee increase, teacher
layoffs and rising coilege costs.
Photos
Hill, for example, said community college fees could
increase even more than already proposed,
spPAgn f9r
Dick Rogers, from the Tuolumne County Sheriff's
Department, came concerned with the state's credit rating.
"What's being done to get it up?" he asked H11L
While she didn't have an answer, Hill, a Modesto native,
said the state will likely need to get a loan by June to deal
with its cash flow issues.
Assemblyman Alan Nakanishi, R -Lodi, a former Lodi mayor
and councilman who took a familiar seat in front of Carnegie
Forurn on Wednesday, said he was informed that the state
will borrow an estimated $2.5 to $2.8 billion, at an interest
rate of $25 million per $1 billion.
"We must act quickly - and we're not," he said. "I went into
the Legislature thinking I was going to solve the budget
problems. It's month three, and we're still at square one."
Mayor Susan Hitchcock was curious when a balanced
budget could be expected from the state.
Poochigian said no one could provide an answer,
"All of us should be hopeful - that we get there without too
much trouble, but I would not bet on that," he said. "What
ft trying to say is, I don't know."
John Gray from Lincoln Unified School District echoed
Hitchcock's feelings.
"When schools have to balance their budget, it has to be on
time and we basically have to go on the best guess and
revise," he said, adding that he hopes the state will stabilize
school funding and defer legislation passed last year that
would affect district budgets.
Page 2 of 3
http://5Nlww,lodinew,,.com/displ.ay/inn-,news/03-hill-030227.txt 2/27/2003
Lodigcws,cor - News
"We have to have the handcuffs off to do our jobs," Cray
said.
In Lodi, even in the midst of trying to approve its own city
budget by. lay, officials are still bracing for potential cuts
thanks to the state's budget woes,
Of the city's .6 million annual budget, roughly i
percent, or $4.7 million, comes iTom the state through
vehicle license fees and grants.
Sales tax, property taxes and franchise taxes could also be
affected and passed down to the city.
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L€ 6 dews -Sentinel, Lodi, California_
Page 3 of 3
ht.tp./Iwww.iodinows.com/display/inn_news/03—hill-.-030227,txt 2/27/2003
Davis plan hits a snag
Tax -hike revenue would have to go to schools, legislative
counsel says.
By Alexa H. Bluth -- Bee Capitol Bureau
Published 2:15 amPST Wednesday, Februaty 26, 2003
The Legislature's lawyers have issued a legal opinion that could unravel the
centerpiece of Gov. Gray Davis' plan to bridge the state's massive budget gap.
The Legislative Counsel's Office, in a privately circulated opinion obtained by The
Bee, concluded that California would be legally required to divert billions of dollars in
revenues from Davis" proposed tax increases to schools rather than local
governments.
The opinion could derail the "realignment" plan in the governor's 2003-04 budget
because it will siphon off to schools as much as half nfthe $8.3 billion raised from
increasing taxes unshoppers, smokers and top earners. Davis designed the
namHgornent plan toshift several state programs to local governments and finance
them with new taxes that bypassed the state treasury and theoretically avoided
Proposition 98^s provisions.
~The legislative counsel's opinion is only confirming what was suspected to be e
questionable end run around Proposition 98," said Kevin Gordon, executive director
of the Ca}|forniaAssociation of School Bu5/nossOfMcio|s.
To make Davis` plan work in accordance with the opinion, lawmakers would have to
suspend Proposition 98, the 1988 initiative that guaranteed to kindergartens through
community colleges a certain amount from the state each year according to a
complex formula, \ndudingtying school spending tothe growth in state revenues.
Davis said that $U.3 billion in tax increases included in his realignment plan would
not apply to the measure beogu5e it would be earmarked specifically for cities and
counties. The Democratic governor hoped the plan would temper Republican criticism
of tax increases because they would benefit local governments.
Davis rnwde|od his realignment plan after similar approach taken by former
Republican Gqv, Pete Wilson, The Wilson plan also circumvented Proposition 90and
was newer challenged in court, said [}nn Carson, director ofthe health and welfare
section of the nonpartisan Legislative Analyst's Office.
But the new opinion said revenues generated by a "statutory increase in the
cigarette tax would be proceeds of taxes that are within the general fund and, as
such,, would be included within the state's rninirnurn school funding oNigation.^'The
opinion includes similar findings for the sales tax and income tax increase proposals.
Davis spokeswoman Hilary McLean said the counsel's office and the governor's legal
advisers have "differing legal views" on the matter, "Our current view isthat it
but she said Davis requested in his budget that working groups assemble to study
the intricacies of realignment,
Assembly Speaker Herb Wesson, D -elver City, requested the opinion to clarify
whether the proposed realignment and accompanying tax hikes would affect the
state's school spending obligations, spokeswoman Patricia Soto said. The legal office
issued its opinion Feb. 12, but Wesson has not made it public. Wesson could not be
reached for comment Tuesday evening.
Suspending Proposition 98 is thought to be a politically incendiary move that also
could face legal challenges. If lawmakers vote to suspend the law, the state would
likely be required to repay schools billions of dollars in the future.
Davis has warned that lawmakers will either have to make $8 billion more in cuts
than he proposed or raise taxes for state operations if his realignment plan fails.
Legislative Analyst Elizabeth Hill last week largely endorsed shifting certain state
responsibilities to counties and cities, but she raised the possibility that the new
taxes to fund the shift could be applied to the Proposition 98 guarantee.
Specifically, Hill estimated that half of the revenues generated from tax increases
would be legally required to be directed to schools rather than to local governments
unless the schoos proposition is temporarily shelved.
"I never have thought that this realignment had any substantive purpose other than
to increase taxes without Suspending Prop, 98," said John Campbell, R -Irvine, vice
chairman of the Assembly Budget Committee. "If this opinion holds, then the
Democrats will have to make a decision. Are they prepared to increases "'axes and
suspend Prop, 98?"
The legislative legal opinion is just the latest snag since Davis unveiled his budget
plan Jan. 10.
The budget has drawn criticism of its reliance on tax hikes and proposal to eliminate
$4 billion in funding for local governments. Davis also faces threats of a legal
challenge if he agrees to Assembly Democrats' request that the state's vehicle
license fee be restored to pre -1998 levels.
"There's no question that it complicates an already very complicated budget dynamic
in the Capitol," Gordon said, "The bottom line is that we are going to have to find
ways to satisfy the Constitution and solve the budget mess as well,"
I
e135
NOU
Ci
142
277
Cities Are Net Donorsto the State
J�qq�iqA_Fee Relief
State General Revenue to Cities in millions
r
F :ilCl FY - EY—OL-0-2 E
TAA
1 2_..._...128
135
518
i
--------------------
tq!ionAry,(ocal Assistance 1P uv6
ID -...a
-j�i
v__._...»A171m
---------------�
fl�E?P1tlE►vC{t�$
lin
-
iii
------------------
. r_....1
Police ���t�n�ai€s r�r� ��� F��.._._ m_______________ 57.._..»m.._ 7.s
1498
VLF Ba&fill cut
+��
�t kifl Fkelief ,.s. 36 6 3
.»_..... o__,q..--------..„.„__A__._.---e..A--a_.-----_„..._-_..,_e_..,.--------------------------
--------
3
.
15Q
ttii i 's%rris - ___ 25 25 23
_n..e. mTOTAL
16
92
Local Assistance 314 626 369
362
1,673
F gp�,jy OC -708
-779
r_....
AF on edevelo Mgnt Aq�ncies .m
_71....__
.:2146
-71
t; State -$292 -$26 -$336
-$469
-$1,144
California City Financial "Assistance" t the State
Under Governor's Proposed FY03-04 Budget & FY02-03 Midyear Cuts
e135
NOU
Ci
142
277
J�qq�iqA_Fee Relief
r
. �.
Assistance
i
--------------------
------------------
VLF Ba&fill cut
i
.9-
-$3,596
Cities not including the City/County of Son Francisco.
Prx po xitftan 172 Public Safety Augmentation funds are not state general fund.
This chart dws NOT include:
(a) Taxpayer reti f pro xams.lisled ira the state budget under "local assistance including: the VLV bark€r€€l,
Senior Citizen property Tax Relief, HomeownerV Property Tax relief, and Witfrarrtson Act re€rnbufsements. These
programs provide taxpayer relief from the $tate via reductions in local tuxes. They do not provide fiscal assistance;
to locai government,
(b) State mandate. raimbursenwints. These legal ob?igations of the state reimburse local gauerr menl for the
costa of program mandates imposed by the State. They do not provide fiscal assistance to cities.
(c) SPeciel teat orae -Aire project allocationa
mjgc 22 Jars 03 LEAGUE OF CALIFORNIA CITIES
im
MI
Cities are Net Donors t
State General Fund
F ®00 FY 00®01 FY 01-02 FY 02-03
*State general fund assistance plus voter approved Prop 172.
Does not include tax relief programs e.g the VLF backfill, HOPTR, etc.
"FY02-03 based.on current law
miqu reY28,8oW3 LEAGUE OF CALIFORNIA CITIES
Governor's Proposal Cu:t.s
0
into City Revenues
F2®3 FY03-04
State general fund assistance plus voter approved Prop 172.
"Reflects Gover€ or" proposed cuts