HomeMy WebLinkAboutAgenda Report - December 12, 2017 B-02TM
CITY OF LODI
COUNCIL COMMUNICATION
AGENDA TITLE:
MEETING DATE:
PREPARED BY:
AGENDA ITEM
By'a
Adopt Resolution Authorizing the City Manager to Execute a Professional Services
Agreement with National Demographic Corporation of Glendale for Demographic
Services Regarding the Transition to By -District Elections (Not to Exceed $50,000)
December 12, 2017
City Attorney
RECOMMENDED ACTION:
Adopt Resolution authorizing the City Manager to execute a
Professional Services Agreement with National Demographic
Corporation of Glendale for demographic services regarding the
transition to by -district elections (not to exceed $50,000).
BACKGROUND INFORMATION: Should the City Council adopt the "Resolution of Intention" to
transition from "at -large" to "by -district" elections, City will require
expertise in the areas of demographic and election history profiles,
an analysis of racially polarized voting, and drawing proposed election districts based on public input.
Staff recommends contracting with National Demographic Corporation (NDC) of Glendale to assist staff
as we transition to by -district elections, by providing the expertise noted above, as well as assisting with
public outreach, including preparation of written materials, and a dedicated webpage, and technical
resources.
FISCAL IMPACT:
If Council pursues by -district elections, the estimated $50,000 cost for
demographic services can be absorbed within known employee vacancy
savings in various departments. For now costs will be charged to the City
Clerk's elections budget.
FUNDING AVAILABLE: City Clerk's elections budget (10005000-72450)
Attachment: Professional Services Agreement
Janice D. Magdich, City Attorney
-19
APPROVED: ] �
5r'eikr- c a+a y Manager
AGREEMENT FOR PROFESSIONAL SERVICES
ARTICLE 1
PARTIES AND PURPOSE
Section 1.1 Parties
THIS AGREEMENT is entered into on , 2017, by and
between the CITY OF LODI, a municipal corporation (hereinafter "CITY"), and
NATIONAL DEMOGRAPHIC CORPORATION, a California corporation (hereinafter
"CONSULTANT").
Section 1.2 Purpose
CITY selected the CONSULTANT to provide the services required in accordance
with attached Scope of Services, Exhibit A, attached and incorporated by this reference.
CITY wishes to enter into an agreement with CONSULTANT for professional
services and technical expertise regarding the transition from at -large to by -district
elections (hereinafter "Project") as set forth in the Scope of Services and Fee Proposal
attached here as Exhibit A. CONSULTANT acknowledges that it is qualified to provide
such services to CITY.
ARTICLE 2
SCOPE OF SERVICES
Section 2.1 Scope of Services
CONSULTANT, for the benefit and at the direction of CITY, shall perform the
Scope of Services as set forth in Exhibit A.
Section 2.2 Time For Commencement and Completion of Work
CONSULTANT shall commence work pursuant to this Agreement, upon receipt
of a written notice to proceed from CITY or on the date set forth in Section 2.6,
whichever occurs first, and shall perform all services diligently and complete work under
this Agreement based on a mutually agreed upon timeline or as otherwise designated in
the Scope of Services.
CONSULTANT shall submit to CITY such reports, diagrams, drawings and other
work products as may be designated in the Scope of Services.
CONSULTANT shall not be responsible for delays caused by the failure of CITY
staff to provide required data or review documents within the appropriate time frames.
The review time by CITY and any other agencies involved in the project shall not be
counted against CONSULTANT's contract performance period. Also, any delays due to
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weather, vandalism, acts of God, etc., shall not be counted. CONSULTANT shall remain
in contact with reviewing agencies and make all efforts to review and return all
comments.
Section 2.3 Meetings
CONSULTANT shall attend meetings as may be set forth in the Scope of
Services.
Section 2.4 Staffing
CONSULTANT acknowledges that CITY has relied on CONSULTANT's
capabilities and on the qualifications of CONSULTANT's principals and staff as identified
in its proposal to CITY. The Scope of Services shall be performed by CONSULTANT,
unless agreed to otherwise by CITY in writing. CITY shall be notified by CONSULTANT
of any change of Project Manager and CITY is granted the right of approval of all
original, additional and replacement personnel at CITY's sole discretion and shall be
notified by CONSULTANT of any changes of CONSULTANT's project staff prior to any
change.
CONSULTANT represents it is prepared to and can perform all services within
the Scope of Services (Exhibit A) and is prepared to and can perform all services
specified therein. CONSULTANT represents that it has, or will have at the time this
Agreement is executed, all licenses, permits, qualifications, insurance and approvals of
whatsoever nature are legally required for CONSULTANT to practice its profession, and
that CONSULTANT shall, at its own cost and expense, keep in effect during the life of
this Agreement all such licenses, permits, qualifications, insurance and approvals, and
shall indemnify, defend and hold harmless CITY against any costs associated with such
licenses, permits, qualifications, insurance and approvals which may be imposed against
CITY under this Agreement.
Section 2.5 Subcontracts
Unless prior written approval of CITY is obtained, CONSULTANT shall not enter
into any subcontract with any other party for purposes of providing any work or services
covered by this Agreement.
Section 2.6 Term
The term of this Agreement commences on December , 2017 and
terminates upon the completion of the Scope of Services or on April 1, 2018, whichever
occurs first.
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ARTICLE 3
COMPENSATION
Section 3.1 Compensation
CONSULTANT's compensation for all work under this Agreement shall conform
to the provisions of the Scope of Services and Fee Proposal, attached hereto as Exhibit
A and incorporated by this reference.
CONSULTANT shall not undertake any work beyond the scope of this
Agreement unless such additional work is approved in advance and in writing by CITY.
Section 3.2 Method of Payment
CITY agrees to pay CONSULTANT $15,000 upon execution of this Agreement
and make payments to CONSULTANT based on submittal of periodic invoices. Invoices
submitted by CONSULTANT shall be paid within fourteen (14) business days of receipt
by CITY.
Section 3.3 Costs
The Fee Proposal shall include all reimbursable costs required for the
performance of the Scope of Services. Payment of additional reimbursable costs
considered to be over and above those inherent in the original Scope of Services shall
be approved in advanced and in writing, by CITY.
Section 3.4 Auditing
CITY reserves the right to periodically audit all charges made by CONSULTANT
to CITY for services under this Agreement. Upon request, CONSULTANT agrees to
furnish CITY, or a designated representative, with necessary information and assistance
needed to conduct such an audit.
CONSULTANT agrees that CITY or its delegate will have the right to review,
obtain and copy all records pertaining to performance of this Agreement.
CONSULTANT agrees to provide CITY or its delegate with any relevant information
requested and shall permit CITY or its delegate access to its premises, upon reasonable
notice, during normal business hours for the purpose of interviewing employees and
inspecting and copying such books, records, accounts, and other material that may be
relevant to a matter under investigation for the purpose of determining compliance with
this requirement. CONSULTANT further agrees to maintain such records for a period of
three (3) years after final payment under this Agreement.
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ARTICLE 4
MISCELLANEOUS PROVISIONS
Section 4.1 Nondiscrimination
In performing services under this Agreement, CONSULTANT shall not
discriminate in the employment of its employees or in the engagement of any sub
CONSULTANT on the basis of race, color, religion, sex, sexual orientation, marital
status, national origin, ancestry, age, or any other criteria prohibited by law.
Section 4.2 ADA Compliance
In performing services under this Agreement, CONSULTANT shall comply with
the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) of 1990, and all amendments thereto, as well
as all applicable regulations and guidelines issued pursuant to the ADA.
Section 4.3 Indemnification and Responsibility for Damage
CONSULTANT to the fullest extent permitted by law, shall indemnify and hold
harmless CITY, its elected and appointed officials, directors, officers, employees and
volunteers from and against any claims, damages, losses, and expenses (including
reasonable attorney's fees and costs), arising out of performance of the services to be
performed under this Agreement, provided that any such claim, damage, loss, or
expense is caused by the negligent acts, errors or omissions of CONSULTANT, any
subCONSULTANT employed directly by CONSULTANT, anyone directly or indirectly
employed by any of them, or anyone for whose acts they may be liable, except those
injuries or damages arising out of the active negligence, sole negligence, or sole willful
misconduct of the City of Lodi, its elected and appointed officials, directors, officers,
employees and volunteers. CITY may, at its election, conduct the defense or participate
in the defense of any claim related in any way to this indemnification. If CITY chooses at
its own election to conduct its own defense, participate in its own defense, or obtain
independent legal counsel in defense of any claim related to this indemnification,
CONSULTANT shall pay all of the costs related thereto, including without limitation
reasonable attorney fees and costs. The defense and indemnification obligations
required by this Agreement are undertaken in addition to, and shall not in any way be
limited by the insurance obligations set forth herein.
Section 4.4 No Personal Liability
Neither the City Council, nor any other officer or authorized assistant or agent or
City employee shall be personally responsible for any liability arising under this
Agreement.
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Section 4.5 Responsibility of CITY
CITY shall not be held responsible for the care or protection of any material or
parts of the work described in the Scope of Services prior to final acceptance by CITY,
except as expressly provided herein.
Section 4.6 Insurance Requirements for CONSULTANT
CONSULTANT shall take out and maintain during the life of this Agreement,
insurance coverage as set forth in Exhibit B attached hereto and incorporated by this
reference.
Section 4.7 Successors and Assigns
CITY and CONSULTANT each bind themselves, their partners, successors,
assigns, and legal representatives to this Agreement without the written consent of the
others. CONSULTANT shall not assign or transfer any interest in this Agreement
without the prior written consent of CITY. Consent to any such transfer shall be at the
sole discretion of CITY.
Section 4.8 Notices
Any notice required to be given by the terms of this Agreement shall be in writing
signed by an authorized representative of the sender and shall be deemed to have been
given when the same is personally served or upon receipt by express or overnight
delivery, postage prepaid, or three (3) days from the time of mailing if sent by first class
or certified mail, postage prepaid, addressed to the respective parties as follows:
To CITY: City of Lodi
221 West Pine Street
P.O. Box 3006
Lodi, CA 95241-1910
Attn: Steve Schwabauer
To CONSULTANT: National Demographic Corporation
P. O. Box 5271
Glendale, CA 91221
Section 4.9 Cooperation of CITY
CITY shall cooperate fully and in a timely manner in providing relevant
information it has at its disposal relevant to the Scope of Services.
Section 4.10 CONSULTANT is Not an Employee of CITY
CONSULTANT agrees that in undertaking the duties to be performed under this
Agreement, it shall act as an independent CONSULTANT for and on behalf of CITY and
not an employee of CITY. CITY shall not direct the work and means for accomplishment
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of the services and work to be performed hereunder. CITY, however, retains the right to
require that work performed by CONSULTANT meet specific standards without regard to
the manner and means of accomplishment thereof.
Section 4.11 Termination
CITY may terminate this Agreement, with or without cause, by giving
CONSULTANT at least ten (10) days written notice. Where phases are anticipated
within the Scope of Services, at which an intermediate decision is required concerning
whether to proceed further, CITY may terminate at the conclusion of any such phase.
Upon termination, CONSULTANT shall be entitled to payment as set forth in the
attached Exhibit B to the extent that the work has been performed. Upon termination,
CONSULTANT shall immediately suspend all work on the Project and deliver any
documents or work in progress to CITY. However, CITY shall assume no liability for
costs, expenses or lost profits resulting from services not completed or for contracts
entered into by CONSULTANT with third parties in reliance upon this Agreement.
Section 4.12 Confidentiality
CONSULTANT agrees to maintain confidentiality of all work and work products
produced under this Agreement, except to the extent otherwise required by law or
permitted in writing by CITY. CITY agrees to maintain confidentiality of any documents
owned by CONSULTANT and clearly marked by CONSULTANT as "Confidential" or
"Proprietary", except to the extent otherwise required by law or permitted in writing by
CONSULTANT. CONSULTANT acknowledges that CITY is subject to the California
Public Records Act.
Section 4.13 Applicable Law* Jurisdiction, Severability, and Attorney's Fees
This Agreement shall be governed by the laws of the State of California.
Jurisdiction of litigation arising from this Agreement shall be venued with the San
Joaquin County Superior Court. If any part of this Agreement is found to conflict with
applicable laws, such part shall be inoperative, null, and void insofar as it is in conflict
with said laws, but the remainder of this Agreement shall be in force and effect. In the
event any dispute between the parties arises under or regarding this Agreement, the
prevailing party in any litigation of the dispute shall be entitled to reasonable attorney's
fees from the party who does not prevail as determined by the San Joaquin County
Superior Court.
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Section 4.14 Captions
The captions of the sections and subsections of this Agreement are for
convenience only and shall not be deemed to be relevant in resolving any question or
interpretation or intent hereunder.
Section 4.15 Integration and Modification
This Agreement represents the entire understanding of CITY and CONSULTANT
as to those matters contained herein. No prior oral or written understanding shall be of
any force or effect with respect to those matters covered hereunder. This Agreement
may not be modified or altered except in writing, signed by both parties.
Section 4.16 Contract Terms Prevail
All exhibits and this Agreement are intended to be construed as a single
document. Should any inconsistency occur between the specific terms of this
Agreement and the attached exhibits, the terms of this Agreement shall prevail.
Section 4.17 Severability
The invalidity in whole or in part of any provision of this Agreement shall not void
or affect the validity of any other provision of this Agreement.
Section 4.18 Ownership of Documents
All documents, photographs, reports, analyses, audits, computer media, or other
material documents or data, and working papers, whether or not in final form, which
have been obtained or prepared under this Agreement, shall be deemed the property of
CITY. Upon CITY's request, CONSULTANT shall allow CITY to inspect all such
documents during CONSULTANT's regular business hours. Upon termination or
completion of services under this Agreement, all information collected, work product and
documents shall be delivered by CONSULTANT to CITY within ten (10) calendar days.
CITY agrees to indemnify, defend and hold CONSULTANT harmless from any
liability resulting from CITY's use of such documents for any purpose other than the
purpose for which they were intended.
Section 4.19 Authority
The undersigned hereby represent and warrant that they are authorized by the
parties to execute this Agreement.
IN WITNESS WHEREOF, CITY and CONSULTANT have executed this
Agreement as of the date first above written.
CITY OF LODI, a municipal corporation
ATTEST:
JENNIFER M. FERRAIOLO STEPHEN SCHWABAUER
City Clerk City Manager
APPROVED AS TO FORM: NATIONAL DEMOGRAPHIC CORPORATION,
JANICE D. MAGDICH, City Attorney a California Corporation
By: By:
Name: DOUGLAS JOHNSON
Title: President
Attachments:
Exhibit A — Scope of Services & Fee Proposal
Exhibit B — Insurance Requirements
Funding Source:
Doc ID:
CA:Rev.12.2017
(Business Unit & Account No.)
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NDC
National Demographics Corporation
EXHIBIT
A Proposal to the
City of Lodi
for Demographic Services
By National Demographics Corporation
Douglas Johnson, President
November 15, 2017
Phone: (818) 254-1221 P.O. Box 5271 info@NDCresearch.com
FAX (818) 254-1221 Glendale, CA 91221 www.NDCresearch.com
NDC
November 15,;'0-1.31
--ivisrjatice Magdieh; City Attorney
City of Lodi
221 West Pine Street
Lodi, CA 95240
National Demographics Corporation
Dear Ms. Magdich,
Thank you for the opportunity to provide this proposal to the City of Lodi. NDC has 38 years of
experience districting and redistricting local jurisdictions, together with unmatched experience
working with jurisdictions facing California Voting Rights Act (CVRA) concerns. Headquartered in
Glendale, and with one of our team members based just down the road from you in Manteca, NDC
has worked on CVRA analysis and districting efforts for over 65 cities, 275 school districts, and a
variety of other local California jurisdictions, including the cities of Stockton, Modesto, Riverbank,
Ceres, and Turlock. We welcome the opportunity to bring the firm's expertise and skills to assist the
City.
For each project, there are certain required basic elements, and there are several options that the City
can include or leave out at its option. NDC carefully tailors each project to the needs and goals of the
individual client partner. NDC welcomes the opportunity to work with the City to encourage public
participation in the districting process, and NDC offers a number of tools developed specifically for
public engagement in this effort. And we offer templates and samples for every step of the project:
analysis and staff reports; outreach materials; web pages and even resolution and ordinance templates.
The attached proposal consists of a brief introduction; specific proposed project elements and options;
timeline and cost information; conclusion; and signature section. NDC looks forward to working with
you on this effort. Please call or email if you have any questions, concerns, or requests regarding this
proposal.
Sincerely,
Douglas Johnson
President
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National Demographics Corporation
Table of Contents
Executive Summary of Proposal 3
About National Demographics Corporation: 4
Brief Company History 4
NDC and the California Voting Rights Act 4
Challenges of Demographic and Election History Analysis and CVRA. 5
NDC's CVRA Analysis Process 6
Potential Next Steps 7
NDC's Districting Process 7
Technical Expertise 7
Public Involvement 7
Minority Group Outreach/Partnerships 8
Openness 8
Media Outreach 8
Local Leadership 8
Impeccable References 8
Proposed Scope of Work 9
Level 1 - database of demographics & elections plus test District maps 9
Task A: Create the demographic database 9
Task B: Elections Database 10
Task C: Test District Map(s) 10
Level II—Racially Polarized Voting Analysis 11
Level III - Creating Districts (if necessary) 11
Basic Districting Project Elements 11
Optional Districting Project Elements 12
Other Potential Project -Related Expenses: 12
Additional Analysis 12
Requested Payment terms• 13
Conclusion 13
Proposal Acceptance 14
Appendix
Sample Client List 15
Resume of President Dr. Douglas Johnson 17
Resume of Vice President Dr. Justin Levitt 19
Resume of Senior Consultant Shalice Tilton 21
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National Demographics Corporation
Executive Summary of Proposal
Level1: demu.,ri 1,11ic and election history profiles
This is a short-term effort to compile the demographics of a jurisdiction, its election
history, and to study rather extreme districting test plans looking at (1) whether a
majority -minority district is possible, even if it takes racial gerrymandering to get there;
and (2) how extreme the lines would need to get to avoid pairing any current
officeholder. None of these test maps are proposals that we recommend adopting, and
in fact almost all would be illegal to adopt, but they give the jurisdiction a sense of
what plaintiffs might want in a map and how `ugly' a map would need to be to avoid
pairing current officeholders.
About 90% of jurisdictions get enough information from just this step to make the
decision whether to move to district elections (or not to), without the time and expense
of a polarized voting analysis.
Timeline: 2 weeks (can be faster if needed)
Cost: $3,250 (not including any in-person meeting fee)
Level 2: racially polarized voting analysis (if desired)
Starting with two recent Council elections, and then adding additional elections if/as
needed for added clarity, NDC would conduct a polarized voting analysis to determine
the level of polarized voting present, if any.
Timeline: 3 weeks for initial 2 or 3 election(s) (can be faster if needed)
Cost: $1,200 per election analyzed (not including any in-person meeting fee)
Level 3: drawing election districts (if desired)
NDC will provide a variety of services related to the development and refinement of
election districts, including public outreach, official consideration, adoption and
implementation.
Optional elements include an NDC -designed and managed project website; paper- and
excel -based "public participation kit"; online redistricting system that allows members
of the public to draw and submit redistricting proposals online; and Spanish translation
services.
Timeline: From one to fourteen months
Basic Elements: $19,500 plus per -meeting and any optional project element costs
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NDC
National Demographics Corporation
About National Demographics Corporation:
Brief Company History
NDC has served hundreds of local governments over the past 37 years. Founded in 1979,
NDC has performed work in all regions of the country, serving clients as varied as the States
of Mississippi, Arizona, Florida and Illinois, Clark County Nevada, American Waterworks,
California's Franchise Tax Board, the San Diego Unified School District, the Foundation for
California, and the Arizona cities of Glendale, Mesa, Peoria, Phoenix, Mesa and Surprise.
The company is especially well known for its work in local and state government. Since 2002,
NDC has established a reputation as the state's leading demographic expert on the California
Voting Rights Act (CVRA), having performed demographic assessments of potential CVRA
liability for over 300 jurisdictions.
No company has been responsible for addressing the electoral demographic needs of more
local governments, as NDC has districted and/or redistricted well over 150 local school
districts, cities, water districts, county boards, and other local districts. Nationally recognized
as a pioneer in good government districting and redistricting, NDC is especially experienced
in working with local jurisdictions in California, Arizona and Nevada.
This background gives us unmatched expertise in the issues, questions, and decisions
jurisdictions face in any discussion regarding the California and Federal Voting Rights Act and
related election system choices.
NDC and the California Voting Rights Act
NDC has performed analysis of potential demographic liability under the California Voting
Rights Act (CVRA) for over 200 jurisdictions in California. For those jurisdictions actually
sued under CVRA (none of which were NDC clients prior to the filing of the lawsuit), all but
one hired NDC to assist in evaluating their demographics, voting history, legal situation, and
options. This includes Madera Unified, Modesto, the City of Madera, Visalia, Compton, the
City of Escondido, Palmdale, Santa Clarita Community College District, Glendale Community
College District, ABC Unified, and Anaheim. Only Compton Community College faced a
lawsuit without the assistance of NDC, as their case was a `friendly' lawsuit where the
settlement was pre -arranged with the plaintiffs prior to the filing of the case.
No other firm even comes close to NDC's experience with this still -new law, and many of the
jurisdictions listed above came to NDC after discovering the demographers they initially hired
either did not sufficiently understand California and Federal Voting Rights law and the related
demographics to help, or the demographers so badly handled the project that their own
demographers' work directly resulted in the jurisdiction being sued.
NDC's expertise in both Voting Rights demographics and in the drawing of election districts
is widely recognized. NDC's personnel are responsible for numerous books and articles on
the subject, and President Douglas Johnson has been a speaker on the CVRA at conferences
of the California School Board Association, the California Latino School Board Member
Association, the California League of Cities, and other state and national conferences.
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NDC
National Demographics Corporation
Challenges of Demographic and Election History Analysis and CVRA
While the Federal Voting Rights Act enjoys nearly 50 years of legal precedents, California's
version both builds on and directly rejects those precedents. Unfortunately, the law itself and
the two court decisions issued so far do not clearly define the terms and potential liability
involved.
The Federal Voting Rights Act requires plaintiffs to show that the "protected class" population
in question can form an effective majority of an election district, and to show, through the
"totality of circumstances," that racial motivations lie either overtly or covertly behind voting
behavior in the jurisdiction. The California law explicitly rejects both of those requirements.
Instead the question of liability under California's law lies entirely on the presence of absence
of "racially polarized voting."
Under Federal law, analysis of polarized voting relies heavily on voting behavior in
"homogeneous" voting precincts — precincts where 80 percent or more of the voters are of
the same ethnicity. In the southern United States, where housing segregation is common, there
are usually many such precincts in a given jurisdiction. In the more diverse neighborhoods of
California, however, such precincts are very rare. "Ecological Regression," meaning the
statistical analysis of voting patterns and demographics of each precinct in a given jurisdiction,
acts as a `backup' analysis tool in a jurisdiction that has lots of homogeneous precincts, and
those homogeneous precincts act as statistical controls to ensure the accuracy of the Ecological
Regression results. Since California generally lacks those natural statistical controls, the
mathematical details of the ecological regression take on a level of importance in California
cases that has never been seen or evaluated in any federal precedent. The demographer you
select must understand these issues — both in their statistical and legal context — to accurately
work with your counsel to assess potential liability and evaluate the options available to the
jurisdiction.
One key unanswered question: "how big is a voting bloc"? Do 70 protected class need to vote
for a given candidate before he or she is considered the "preferred candidate" of that protected
class? 80 percent? One plaintiff expert claims that a 51 — 49 percent split among protected
class voters is all that is required — meaning if the candidate preferred by 49 percent of
protected class voters loses, the jurisdiction is in violation of the law. This is likely absurd, but
no court has ruled on the question of how big a voting bloc must be before it qualified.
Another unanswered question: who is a "protected class candidate"? The California law set an
unprecedented focus on elections where members of a protected class are candidates. But who
"counts" as a protected class candidate? In Anaheim, one attorney for the Latino plaintiffs
said that a half -Filipino, half -Latino Councilmember who self -described as Latina "didn't
count." In the Eastside Elementary School District, the potential plaintiff implied that a School
Board trustee with the last name of Johnson but who was 100% Mexican -American (and
whose maiden name was "Ortega") did not count because (allegedly) voters did not know she
was Latina. In the City of Compton case, plaintiffs said a half -African-American / half -Latina
Councilmember `did not count' because they said she did not receive enough support from
Latino voters. These questions have been raised in the CVRA cases filed or threatened so far,
but remain unanswered.
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National Demographics Corporation
Another unanswered question: how reliable do the Ecological Regression results need to be
before the Court will take action based on them? The statistical tools used generate a number
of measures of accuracy and relevance. These questions were raised in the Palmdale case but
not addressed in the Court's ruling. One common failing of potential plaintiff and jurisdiction
demographers is to focus on the "point estimate" generated by the Ecological Regression. It
is simple to take that number and be able to say "X percent of Latino voters supported
candidate Y." But the mathematics say something different: NDC has often seen situations
where the margin of error on those point estimates has been greater than the point estimate
itself, such as "25 percent of Latino voters supported candidate Y, with a 95% confidence
interval of 0 to 50 percent."
Only demographers experienced in Voting Rights -related analysis and litigation can
appropriately advise your counsel and the District on how to interpret all of these factors when
evaluating their options. NDC is the demographic firm you need to get the best possible
evaluation of potential liability under this extremely unclear law.
NDC's CVRA Analysis Process
A polarized voting analysis can involve a quick review of a jurisdiction's most recent election
or elections, or an in-depth review of every possible local, county, and statewide candidate and
ballot measure election for the previous ten years. Under the CVRA, elections for the
jurisdiction's own elected body carry the most weight, so NDC recommends that jurisdictions
interested in a polarized voting analysis look at just one or two of their own elections to get
an initial feel for the findings. If the results are unclear (which they are with some frequency,
given the imprecise nature of the statistical methods and relatively small datasets often
involved), or if the jurisdiction simply wishes to investigate more after hearing the initial report,
NDC welcomes the chance to work with the jurisdiction to analyze as many elections as
needed. This step by step approach provides the in-depth analysis the client needs to make its
decision, while only incurring the minimal costs required to complete the project.
Voting Rights Act vulnerability analysis references (specific jurisdiction names
withheld as these studies are done within the attorney-client privilege):
• Ms. Youstina Aziz, Mr. Kit Bobko, Mr. Steven Dorsey, and/or Mr. Craig Steele of
Richards, Watson and Gershon, 355 South Grand Avenue, 40th Floor, Los Angeles,
California 90071, (213) 626-8484.
• Mr. Michael E. Smith of Lozano Smith, 7404 North Spalding Ave., Fresno, CA 93720,
(559)431-5600, MSmith@lozanosmith.com.
• Ms. Marguerite Leoni, of Nielsen, Merksamer, Parrinello, Gross & Leoni, 2350 Kerner
Boulevard, Suite 250, San Rafael, CA 94901, (415)634-6840, mleoni@nmgovlaw.com (or
ask for Mr. Chris Skinnell)
• Mr. John Ramirez, Rutan and Tucker, 611 Anton Boulevard, Suite 1400, Costa Mesa, CA
92626-1931, (714) 641-5100, jramirez@rutan.com (if not available, ask for Mr. Alan
Fenstermacher)
• Mr. Warrant Kinsler, Atkinson, Andelson, Loya, Ruud & Romo, 12800 Center Court
Drive, Suite 300, Cerritos, CA 90703, (562) 653-3424, WKinsler@aalrr.com (or ask for
David Soldani or Tiffany Tran).
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NDC
National Demographics Corporation
Potential Next Steps
After receiving and considering the demographic analysis and consulting with its counsel,
each jurisdiction faces three options:
1. Do nothing;
2. Prepare to make the change to by -district -area elections quickly if there is public
pressure to do so or if a legal demand letter arrives (to minimize legal and financial
exposure, without pre-emptively acting immediately);
3. Proactively change to by -district -area elections to enter the CVRA "safe harbor" and
avoid any potential legal liability under the CVRA.
If the jurisdiction decides to move to the CVRA "safe harbor" of by -district elections, NDC
is also the state's leading firm in the field of drawing and transitioning to by -district elections.
NDC has successfully guided over 150 clients moving from at -large to by -district and from -
district election systems, re -drawing existing districts, and in moving back from by -district to
at -large systems. No other firm can match NDC's extensive experience in this field.
NDC's Districting Process
The following information is provided for information and for use if a jurisdiction decides to
move to by -district elections. If the client decides not to move to by -district elections, the
work would end with the demographic analysis described above.
Technical Expertise
NDC's personnel are nationally recognized as leaders in the districting field, and are
responsible for numerous books and articles on the subject. NDC possesses all the hardware
and software necessary to the districting and redistricting needs of any jurisdiction, and its
personnel have extensive experience in performing graphics districting and redistricting work
as well as in developing databases for districting use.
The technical demands of a districting effort are high, and NDC is the undisputed leader in
this area. But far more important than technical expertise are the interpersonal understanding
and experience working with all parties in the process, including the public.
Public Involvement
NDC pioneered the "transparent districting" approach which involves the public at every
stage of the process. The company invented the "public participation kit" for public
participation in districting efforts, which many of the firm's competitors now attempt to
duplicate. Perhaps NDC's most valuable service is the firm's experience transforming often -
contentious and passionate debates on this difficult subject into thoughtful, constructive
discussions focused on the options and outcomes rather than individual personalities or
positions. NDC also has considerable experience working with translators in public forums
and providing materials in English and Spanish.
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Minority Group Outreach/Partnerships
U.S. Supreme Court decisions are constantly changing the rules regarding districting, "race -
based districting," and the establishment of districts focused on the electoral power of
"protected classes." It is crucial that the consultant work with the racial, ethnic, and other
community groups at the beginning of the process to welcome their ideas and develop the
appropriate expectations regarding minority representation prospects. No NDC local
districting or redistricting plans has ever been challenged in Court or by the Department of
Justice.
Openness
Any change in election systems can have momentous implications for the distribution of
political power in a jurisdiction and for access by groups and individuals to the governance
process. Not surprisingly, such changes often attract much public attention, sometimes
generate intense controversy, and may draw charges of manipulation and abuse of power.
Indeed, disputes over the form and substance of the process may often result in stalemate or
legal challenge. It is crucial, therefore, that the jurisdiction establish, at the beginning, a process
that is not only fair, but that is seen to be fair, to all contending groups and individuals.
Media Outreach
The firm's work has been widely praised in the media, and NDC has worked extensively on
background, off the record, and on the record with all types of press including radio, television,
newspaper, and new media.
Local Leadership
NDC views its role as an advisor and technical resource. The firm advises its clients, but every
project remains the client's project. NDC offers guidance based on its experience and
expertise, but ultimately the decisions are made by the jurisdiction itself. NDC welcomes the
chance to assist this project under the guidance and direction of the jurisdiction's elected
leadership, key staff members, and the entire community.
Impeccable References
All of NDC's former clients — without exception — can be contacted for references. The firm
has no embarrassing projects. All NDC's local districting and redistricting plans have been
accepted into law with a minimum of controversy.
Mr. Rick Haydon, City Manager, City of Santa Maria, 110 E. Cook Street, Santa Maria, CA
93454-5190. Phone: (805) 925-0951 ext. 2200. Email: rhaydon@cityofsantamaria.org
Ms. Pam Abel, Superintendent, Modesto City Schools, 426 Locust Street, Modesto, CA
95351-2631. Phone: (209) 574-1616. Email: able.p@mcs4kids.com
Mr. Darrell Talbert, City Manager, City of Corona, 400 S Vicentia Avenue, Corona, CA
92882-2187. Phone: 951.279.3670. Email: Darrell.Talbert@ci.corona.ca.us
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Mr. Steve Carrigan, City Manager, City of Merced, 678 West 18th Street, Merced, CA 95340.
Phone: 209- 385-6834 Email: citymanager@cityofmerced.org
Mr. Devin Reif, Strategic Planning, City of Oakland, 250 Frank H. Ogawa Plaza, Suite 3315,
Oakland, CA 94612. Phone: 510-238-3550 Email: DReiff@oaklandnet.com
Mr. David Silberman, Deputy County Counsel, San Mateo County, 400 County Center, 6th
Floor, Redwood City, CA 94063. Phone: 650-363-4749 Email: dsilberman@smcgov.org
Judge Hugh Rose (retired), Chairman, City of Modesto Districting Commission. 508 King
Richard Lane, Modesto, CA 95350. Phone (209) 522-0719. Email: hhrose@hotmail.com.
Ms. Lucinda Aja. City Clerk, City of Buckeye, Arizona. 100 N Apache Rd, Suite A, Buckeye,
AZ 85326. Phone (623) 349-6007. Fax (623) 349-6098. Email: laja@buckeyeaz.gov.
Proposed Scope of Work
Each level of work is a discrete and separate part of this proposal. As each level is complete,
NDC will consult with the client on the decision whether to proceed with the next level, skip
to a later stage o review, or to decide the review is complete. NDC will only proceed from
one level to the next on direction from the client. The client can end the project after any
level is complete, or the client can choose to skip levels as it wishes.
Level 1- database of demographics & elections plus test District
maps
Task A: Create the demographic database
This database will include 2010 Census data on total population and voting age population
counts by race and ethnicity; California Statewide Database data on 2010 voter registration
and turnout by Spanish- and Asian -American surnames; either Statewide Database, or, if that
is not available in time, County Registrar current voter registration turnout records processed
by NDC to identify Spanish- and Asian -American surnames; American Community Survey
data on Citizens of Voting Age by race and ethnicity (also known as "eligible voters") from
the latest Census Bureau reports (five-year data from 2009-2013).
In 2011, jurisdictions and demographers could get Citizen Voting Age data (also referred to
as "eligible voter" data), broken down by race and ethnicity, from the California Statewide
Database (assuming the jurisdiction or its consultant necessary software and expertise). The
challenge today is that the Statewide Database data, posted in 2011, were processed using the
2005-2009 data from the American Community Survey. The Statewide Database data is now
significantly out of date: the Census Bureau has released two annual updates to the data, and
those updates included what the Census Bureau calls a "re -balancing" of the data using
statistical controls from the 2010 Census, instead of the 2000 Census statistical controls used
for the 2005-2009 data. NDC's research has found that the new data is more significantly more
accurate thanks both to being more up to date and to the greatly increased accuracy of the
updated statistical controls. The Statewide Database has no known plans to update its
American Community Survey data on Citizens of Voting Age by race and ethnicity (used by
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the 9th Circuit Federal Courts as the best count of "eligible voters") until the 2021 redistricting
cycle.
Task B: Elections Database
Task: NDC will compile a list of 2001 - 2015 election results for all Council elections; for
elections for overlapping school, county and state elections that involved "protected class"
candidates; and for measures placed on the ballot by the City. NDC will work with the City to
identify/confirm the ethnicity of the various candidates in these elections.
Task C: Test District Map(s)
Task: NDC will analyze whether it is possible to draw one or more majority -minority districts
based on each of the following demographic databases:
• 2012 and 2014 general election voter turnout by surname (or 2016, once it is available)
• 2012 and 2014 general election voter registration by surname (or 2016, once it is
available)
• Citizen Voting Age Population (2011-2015 Department of Justice Special Tabulation)
▪ Citizen Voting Age Population (2011-2015 American Community Survey)
• Voting Age Population (2010 Census)
• Total Population (2010 Census)
Level 1 Deliverables:
• Spreadsheet of District demographics in electronic and PDF format (NDC)
• Table listing elections, candidates, candidate ethnicity, and total votes (count and
percentage) for each election collected. The table will be accompanied by a summary
of which "protected class" candidates ran and whether they won or lost each
election. The client will receive the report in PDF format.
• Demographic data on test district(s) and PDF map of test districts.
Level 1 Timeline: Typically three weeks, but can be done faster if necessary.
Cost: $3,250 for the analysis and report and web- or phone -conference call(s) to discuss.
NDC is happy to attend any desired meetings/discussions in person, but that costs $2,000
for each day of in-person meeting(s).
Next Steps:
At the completion of the Level I, the client can decide whether or not to proceed with Level
II, to jump to a later project level, or to consider the project complete. NDC will not proceed
with any additional work beyond Level I without written direction from the client.
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Level II—Racially Polarized Voting Analysis
Task: Analysis of potential racially polarized voting patterns in key local and statewide
elections. This includes:
• An initial analysis of the City's two most recent Council elections;
• Potential analysis of additional city, school, county, and statewide elections involving
`protected class' candidates and/or related issues;
• Homogeneous precinct analysis of election results, if there are any homogeneous
precincts in the City;
• Ecological Regression analysis of election results.
Deliverables: List of the elections analyzed, scattergram of election data, and tables of
regression and homogeneous precinct analysis data.
Cost: For the analysis and report and web- or phone -conference call(s) to discuss: $1,200
per election analyzed (most often only two are analyzed, but the number can increase
significantly depending on the client's interest and the level of precision of the statistical
analysis possible in the client jurisdiction). NDC is happy to attend any desired meetings/
discussions in person, but that costs $2,000 for each day of in-person meeting(s).
Timeline: three weeks (but can be done faster if necessary).
Next Steps:
At the completion of the Level II work, the client can decide whether or not to proceed with
Level III, to jump to a later project level, or to consider the project complete. NDC will not
proceed with any additional work beyond Level II without written direction from the client.
Level III - Creating Districts (if necessary)
To provide the flexibility to meet the needs of the client if it decides to move to by -district -
area elections, NDC offers a full menu of options:
Basic Districting Project Elements
Includes all of the services listed below: $19,500
• Project Setup and coordination:
o Development of redistricting database including Census and California Statewide
Database data;
o Incorporation of any Geographic Information System (GIS) data that the
District wishes to include and provides (often including school locations; school
attendance areas; important local landmarks; or local neighborhood boundaries);
o Initial discussion with key staff and/or Council members about demographics,
communities of interest, schedule and criteria;
o Any phone- or web -conference calls to discussion the project's progress or
answer any Council, staff or media questions that may arise;
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• Plan Development:
o Creating of 2 to 4 initial draft maps for Council and public consideration;
o Analysis and preparation for Council consideration of all whole or partial plans
submitted by the public;
o Conversion of all maps and reports to web -friendly versions for online posting;
o Online posting of all maps to an interactive website for detailed review;
o Any requested additional maps and/or map revisions requested;
• Plan Presentation:
o Presentations at Council meetings and/or public forums by phone- or web -
conference (or in person for the "in person presentation" fee listed under
"optional elements" below);
• Work with the County Registrar of Voters to implement the final adopted plan.
Optional Districting Project Elements
Selected at the client's discretion:
• In-person presentation at additional Council meetings, facilitation of
public forum(s), and/or any other requested meetings; $2,000
• Preparation and processing of paper, PDF and Excel -based "public participation
kits" (paper kits that allow the public to draw and submit their own plans). $4,000
• Creation, hosting, and updating of an NDC --managed project information
website (if the client does not wish to manage a project website as part
of its existing website). - $4,500
• Hosting, managing and processing submitted plans for an online interactive
system that allows public to draw and submit proposed districting plans
through a standard web browser $13,500
• Spanish translation of project -related materials $125 per page
Stated prices include all travel, printing (except public participation kits and any large -plot
maps), and other anticipated expenses.
Timeline: Level III (Creating Districts) timeline will be established in consultation with the
client. This Level ideally has three to nine months available, but can be done faster when
necessary.
Other Potential Project -Related Expenses:
The only anticipated additional districting expenses would be any site or staff costs for
conducting the community forums; and the cost of printing or copying paper copies of the
"Public Participation Kit." In NDC's experience, most public participants will download and
print the Kits in their own homes or offices.
Additional Analysis
NDC is happy to assist with any additional analysis that the client requests at our standard
hourly rates:
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Principal (Dr. Douglas Johnson) $200 per hour
Vice President (Justin Levitt) $125 per hour
Senior Analyst $75 per hour
Analyst / Clerical $50 per hour
Dr. Johnson is also available for deposition and/or testimony work if needed, at $250 per
hour.
If the City decides to move to by -district elections, NDC is of course willing and able to
assist with that process as well.
Requested Payment terms:
NDC requests that one-half payment be made at project start and one-half at the conclusion.
Conclusion
Since its founding NDC has been the preeminent company in the nation devoted to local
election systems. To summarize:
• NDC, founded in 1979, has a demonstrated record of financial solvency.
• NDC's hardware and software resources were specially designed and acquired for
election -related demographic analysis.
• NDC's highly respected personnel have impeccable credentials in each aspect of the
districting and redistricting processes.
• NDC's suggested approach has been tested in many jurisdictions.
• Any NDC client can be contacted for testimonials and reference.
• NDC has more experience in the field of municipal election demographics than any
other company.
• NDC has demonstrated experience over many years in working with the press and media
on local election system issues.
• NDC possesses fully up-to-date and highly effective geographic retrieval systems with
applications specifically designed for election -related demographic analysis.
It should be clear that NDC has all of the resources of experience, technical expertise, and
legal/political know-how to assist the City in its current effort. NDC looks forward to the
opportunity to work with the City on this project.
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Proposal Acceptance
The terms of this proposal are available for 45 calendar days from its delivery to you. In
most situations, NDC is open to extending that period of time to meet any particular needs
of your jurisdiction.
NDC prides ourselves on tailoring each project to the needs and goals of each individual
client. NDC is open to any feedback, concerns, requests, or changes regarding this proposal.
If, however, it is acceptable in its current form, then NDC welcomes the opportunity to
begin work as soon as possible.
If your jurisdiction has specific contract and/or letter of agreement language you prefer to
use, please provide it and ignore the signature block below. If you prefer, simply sign two
copies of this proposal in the signature block below and return them to NDC. Once signed
by NDC, one copy will be returned to you. Thank you.
ational Demographics Corporation For the City of Lodi
Douglas Johnson, President
Date
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Clients moved or moving from at -large to by -district elections
Counties
San Mateo
Cities
Apple Valley
Anaheim
Banning
Bellflower
Buckeye
Buena Park
Ceres
Chino
Compton
Corona
Eastvale
El Cajon
Escondido
Firebaugh
Fowler
Fullerton
Community College Districts
Antelope Valley
Cuesta
Glendale
Grossmont-Cuyamaca
MiraCosta
Glendale (AZ)
Hemet
Hesperia
Highland
King City
Los Banos
Madera
Menifee
Merced
Mesa (AZ)
Modesto
Moreno Valley
Palmdale
Parlier
Pasadena
Peoria (AZ)
Water, Irrigation & Conservation Districts
Fresno Irrigation
Imperial Irrigation District
Mojave Water Agency
Palmdale Water
Rowland Water
Other Sp cial Districts
Jurupa Community Service District
Kings River Conservation District
School Districts
Alpine Union
Alpine Union Elementary
Alta Vista
Bakersfield City Schools
Bonsai]. Union
Elementary
Borrego Springs Unified
Buena Park Elementary
Rancho Cucamonga
Redlands
Reedley
Riverbank
San Marcos
Sanger
Santa Barbara
Surprise
Tulare
Turlock
Victorville
Visalia
Whittier
Wildomar
Yucaipa
Rancho Santiago
San Diego
Santa Clarita
Sierra
Southwestern
Alta Irrigation
San Bernardino Water
Santa Clara Valley Water
Upper San Gabriel Valley
Western Municipal Water
Winton Water
Tulare Health Care District
Westside Community Health Care District
Burton Elementary
Cajon Valley Union
Cajon Valley Union
Elementary
Calistoga Joint Unified
Capistrano Unified
Capistrano Unified
School District
Cardiff Elementary
Carlsbad Unified
Caruthers
Cayucas
Centinela Valley
Central Unified
Centralia Elementary
Chula Vista Elementary
NDC
National Demographics Corporation
Clients moved or moving from at -large to by -district elections
Clay Elementary
Clovis Unified
Coalinga -Huron
Coronado Unified
Dehesa Elementary
Del Mar Union
Elementary
Dinuba Unified
Eastern Sierra Unified
Eastside Union
Elementary
Encinitas Union
Elementary
Escalon Unified
Escondido Union
Elementary
Escondido Union High
Exeter Elementary
Exeter High
Exeter Unified
Fallbrook Union
Elementary
Fallbrook Union High
Firebaugh-Las Deltas
Unified
Fresno Unified
Fullerton Union High
Glendale Unified
Greenfield
Grossmont Union High
Hughson Unified
Jamul-Dulzura Union
Elementary
Julian Union Elementary
Julian Union High
Kerman Unified
Kern High
Keyes Union
Kings Canyon Unified
School District
Kings River
Kingsburg Elementary
Kingsburg High
La Mesa -Spring Valley
Lake Elsinore
Lakeside Union
Elementary
Lakeside Union School
Lancaster Elementary
Lawndale Elementary
Lemon Grove
Elementary
Lindsay Unified
Lucia Mar
Madera Unified
Magnolia Elementary
Merced Union High
School District
Modesto City Schools
Modoc Unified
Monson Soltana
Morgan Hill Unified
Mountain Empire
Unified
Napa Valley Unified
National Elementary
Newhall Elementary
Newman Crows Landing
Oak Grove Elementary
School District
Oceanside Unified
Pacific Union
Panama Buena Vista
Pasadena Unified
Pixley Union
Pleasant View
Pomona Unified
Porterville
Poway Unified
Ramona Unified
Rancho Santa Fe
Elementary
Richland School District
Riverbank
Riverdale Unified
Salida Union
San Dieguito Union High
San Marcos Unified
San Pasqual Union
Elementary
San Ysidro Elementary
Santee Elementary
Selma Unified
Solana Beach Elementary
South Bay Union
Spencer Valley
Elementary
Strathmore Elementary
Sundale Union
Elementary
Sweetwater Union High
Tulare City Elementary
Tulare City High
Tulelake
Turlock Unified
Twin Rivers Unified
Vallecitos Elementary
Valley Center Pauma
Unified
Visalia Unified
Vista Unified
Walnut Valley Water
Warner Unified
Washington Union
Waterford Union
Whittier Union High
Woodlake Union
Douglas Mark Johnson
P.O. Box 5271 mobile: (310) 200-2058
Glendale, CA 91221 office: (909) 624-1442
djohnson@NDCresearch.com fax: (818) 254-1221
Employment
President, National Demographics Corporation, 2006 — present.
Senior Analyst, National Demographics Corporation, 2001 — 2006.
Fellow, Rose Institute of State and Local Government, 2001 — present.
Project Manager and Senior Manager at three internet startup companies, 1999 - 2001.
U.S. Representative Stephen Horn, Legislative Director and System Manager. 1993 — 1997.
Coro Foundation, Fellowship in Public Affairs. 1992 — 1993.
Rose Institute for State and Local Government, Student Manager. 1989 — 1992.
Education
Claremont Graduate University, Ph.D. in Political Science, 2015. Dissertation: "Independent
Redistricting Commissions: Hopes and Lessons Learned."
UCLA Anderson Graduate School of Management, MBA, 1999.
Claremont McKenna College, BA in Government (Political Science), 1992.
Academic Honors
Graduated Cum Laude from Claremont McKenna College.
Phi Beta Kappa. Philip Roland Prize for Excellence in Public Policy.
Publications and Articles
Christian Science Monitor "Let the public help draw voting districts," October 25, 2013.
New York Times, "The Case for Open Primaries," February 19, 2009.
Los Angeles Times Opinion Articles:
"A neighbor's help on redistricting" June 24, 2007.
"A Trojan horse primary for the GOP" February 25, 2007.
"Where a porn palace stood" (article on redevelopment), July 30, 2006.
Fresno Bee Opinion Article: "The Poison Handshake" June 15, 2004.
Redistricting in America. Rose Institute of State and Local Government, 2010.
Restoring the Competitive Edge: California's Need for Redistricting Reform -aid the Likely
Impact of Proposition 77. Rose Institute of State and Local Government, 2005.
"Competitive Districts in California" Rose Institute of State and Local Government, 2005.
Latinos and Redistricting: "Californias For Fair Representation" and California Redistricting in
the 1980s. Rose Institute of State and Local Government, 1991.
Speaker or Panelist
California School Board Association Annual Education Conference panelist: "The California
Voting Rights Act: What Board Members Must Know." December 4, 2015.
Associated Cities of California — Orange County, Keynote Speaker, Newly Elected Officials'
Reception and Dinner, "The California Voting Rights Act," January 29, 2015.
California League of Cities, City Manager Department, 2015 Department Meeting: "Opportunity to
Engage Residents: The California Voting Rights Act." January 29, 2015.
California League of Cities, City Clerk Department, 2014 Annual Meeting: "Whose Line Is It
Anyway: Making the transition from at -large to by -district elections." September 3, 2014.
National Conference of State Legislatures, Redistricting and Elections Standing Committee: 2007
Spring Forum, "The Arizona Independent Redistricting Commissions' experiences with the
first-ever independent redistricting."
National Conference of State Legislatures, Redistricting and Elections Standing Committee: 2008
Spring Forum, "Communities of Interest In Redistricting: A Practical Guide."
Douglas Mark Johnson
National Conference of State Legislatures, Redistricting and Elections Standing Committee: 2009
Fall Forum, "The Key to Successful Redistricting."
National Conference of State Legislatures, Redistricting and Elections Standing Committee: 2010
Spring Forum, "Communities of Interest in Redistricting: A key to drawing 2011 plans (and for
their defense)."
National Conference of State Legislatures, Redistricting and Elections Standing Committee: 2011
Winter Forum, "Citizen Voting Age Data from a line -drawer's viewpoint."
Luncheon Keynote Speaker, Santa Barbara's Channel Cities Club, "California's next experiment
independent, public redistricting," January 18, 2011.
Annual Confere.ire, Arizona League of Cities and Towns, Presenter at "Redistricting Law and the
Voting Rights Act: What It Means for Your City or Town in 2011," August 25, 2010.
Redistricting, The 2010 Census, and Your Budget, Sponsored by the Rose Institute of State and
Local Government, California League of Cities, October 15, 2009.
Arizona Election Law 2010 Continuing Legal Education Conference, "Communities of interest and
technology in redistricting," sponsored by the Arizona State Bar Association, March 2010
California's New Independent Redistricting Commission, sponsored by the Irvine Foundation and
the California Redistricting Collaborative, December 15, 2009
Tribal Association of Sovereign Indian Nations (TASIN) Legislative Day 2009, "The 2010 Census
and 2011 Redistricting in California," December 2, 2009.
California School Board Association, "Litigation Issues and the California Voting Rights Act,"
December 4, 2009.
California Latino School Boards Association, "Introduction to the California Voting Rights Act,"
August 20, 2009.
Building a National Reform Movement, Salt Lake City, Utah, 2006, conference on redistricting
reform hosted by the League of Women Voters, Campaign Legal Center, and The Council for
Excellence in Government
T xas Tech University, "A Symposium on Redistricting," May, 2006
California League of Cities, "Introduction to the California Voting Rights Act."
Voices of Reform, a project of the Commonwealth Club of San Francisco: multiple forums on
redistricting and / or term limits,2006 — 2007
Classroom speaker at Pepperdine University, the University of La Verne, Pomona College and
Claremont McKenna College
Justin Mark Levitt
P.O. Box 5271
Glendale, CA 91221
jlevitt@NDCresearch.com
mobile: (480) 390-7480
office: (818) 254-1221
fax: (818) 254-1221
Employment
Vice -President, National Demographics Corporation, 2012 — present.
Senior Analyst, National Demographics Corporation, 2003 — 2011.
Instructor in Political Science, University of California, San Diego, 2012 — present.
Graduate Research Fellow, Center for US -Mexico Studies, 2010 — present.
Graduate Research Fellow, University of California, San Diego, 2008 — 2010 and 2013 — 2014.
Jesse M. Unruh California Assembly Fellow. 2006 — 2007.
Rose Institute for State and Local Government, Student Manager. 2005 — 2006.
Education
University of California, San Diego, Ph.D. Political Science, 2016. Dissertation title: "The Impact
of Geographic Patterns on Tradeoffs in Redistricting."
Claremont McKenna College, BA in Philosophy, Politics and Economics (PPE), 2006.
Academic Honors
California Studies Fellow, University of California, San Diego, 2007 — 2009
Graduated Cum Laude from Claremont McKenna College.
Publications and Conference Presentations
Settle, Jamie, Robert Bond, and Justin Levitt. 2011. "The Social Origins of Adult Political
Behavior." American Politics Research: 39 (2). 239-263
Miller, Kenneth and Justin Levitt. 2007. "The San Joaquin Valley." In The New Political
Geography of California. Eds. Frederick Douzet, Thad Kousser, and Kenneth Miller. Berkeley:
Institute of Government Studies.
"The Political Geography of Tradeoffs in Redistricting" Paper presented at the State Politics and
Policy Conference, Iowa City, IA, 2013
Getting What You Want.: A Bargaining Approach to Fair Division in Redistricting Paper presented at the
"Challenging Urban Borders : the geopolitics of immigration and segregation" workshop,
Berkeley, CA, 2013 and the State Politics and Policy Conference, Houston, TX, 2012
"An Atlas of Public Health in Mexico" (with Alberto Diaz Cayeros). Paper presented at the
Hewlett Foundation Conference on Public Health, Mexico City, DF. 2012
"Remoteness and the Territoriality of Public Health" (with Alberto Diaz Cayeros).
Paper presented at the American Political Science Association conference, Seattle, WA. 2011
"Initiatives as revealed preferences"
Paper presented at the American Political Science Association conference, Seattle, WA. 2011
'No Se Puede: Latino PolitiralIncorporation in Phoenix.". Paper Presented at the New Political
Geography of California conference, Berkeley, CA., 2009
Justin Mark Levitt
`Political Change in the Central Valley': Paper Presented at the Western Political Science
Association conference, Las Vegas, NV.,2007
Working Papers
Hill, Seth, Thad Kousser, Alex Hughes, and Justin Levitt. ND. "How Competitiveness Shapes
Infrequent Primary Voters Response to Receiving a GOTV Mailer."
Diaz-Cayeros, Alberto and Justin Levitt. ND. "Remoteness and the Territoriality of Public Health."
Levitt, Justin. ND. "Getting What You Want: A Bargaining Approach to Fair Division in Commission -
led Redistricting."
Teaching Experience
California State University, Long Beach, Department of Political Science
Adjunct Professor—POSC 327 (Urban Politics) Spring 2016 -Present
Adjunct Professor—POSC 229 (Cases in Policy Analysis) Present
Adjunct Professor—POSC 412 (Law and Social Change) Spring 2016 -Present
Present
Adjunct Professor—POSC 399 (California Politics Short Course)
University of California, San Diego, Department of Political Science
Co-Instructor—UPS 170 (Regional Governance Reconsidered)
Instructor—Poli 100A (The Presidency)
Instructor—Poli 160AA (Introduction to Public Policy Analysis)
Instructor—Poli 10 (Introduction to American Politics)
Spring 2015
Fall 2014
Fall 2013
Summer 2013
Shalice M. Tilton, M.M.C.
mobile: (714) 308-0726 stilton@NDCresearch.com office: (818) 254-1221
Employment
Senior Consultant, National Demographics Corporation, 2017 — present.
City Clerk, Department Director, Executive Manager, City of Buena Park, CA, 1998 — 2017
Deputy City Clerk, Division Manager, City of Buena Park, CA, 1994 —1997
Education
Master of Public Administration, National University
Bachelor of Science, Business Administration, Grand Canyon University
Master Municipal Clerk, International Institute of Municipal Clerks
Certified Municipal Clerk, International Institute of Municipal Clerks
Professional Affiliations
International Institute of Municipal Clerks
League of California Cities, City Clerks Department
City Clerks Association of California
Southern California City Clerks Association
Buena Park Area Business Council
Historical Society of Buena Park
External Highlights
Contributor, 2014 League of California Cities Western Cities publication, "The Balanced Triangle
and the City Clerk's Role in Local Government."
Adjunct Professor, 2014-17 UC Irvine Extension and Association of California Cities — Public
Policy Making Academy "Public Governance — City Government."
Guest Speaker, 2012 Association of California Cities Orange County, Government Leadership
Summit, "Navigating Public Policy"
Guest Speaker, 2008 League of California Cities New Law and Election Seminar, "The Rewards
of Being a Fearless City Clerk"
Co -Author, "International Institute of Municipal Clerks Code of Ethics Rules of Procedure,"
adopted by IIMC, July 2008
Guest Speaker, 2008 League of California Cities Mayor and City Council Executive Forum,
"Technology and Electronic Media and the Public Records Act"
Educator and Trainer, 2007-2008 Master Municipal Clerk Academy of the International Institute
of Municipal Clerks, "Understanding the Complex Legalities of the Clerk Domain"
Editor/Contributor, 2008 League of California Cities publication, "The People's Business: A
Guide to the California Public Records Act"
2007 Integrity of Profession Award, Soroptimist International of Buena Park.
"Shalice Tilton Day," September 12, 2006, Buena Park City Council Proclamation
2003 President's Award, "Paying it Forward to Youth," City Clerks Association of California
2002 President's Ensemble Award, City Clerks Association of California
Founder, Program Chair, and Trainer, City Clerks Association of California, "Nuts & Bolts"
Education Institute (100+ participants annually), 1997-2004
Mentor for Continuing Education for Public Officials, provided educational and professional
guidance to entry-level City Clerks, 2002-2004
Guest Speaker, 2003 League of California Cities New Law and Election Seminar, "The Art of
Preparing Minutes and Crafting Agenda Reports"
Nominated, 1999 International Institute of Municipal Clerks Technology Award of Excellence
Guest Speaker, City Clerks Association of California 1998 Annual Conference, "Charting Your
Course - The Role, Responsibilities, and Dudes of the City Clerk"
Guest Speaker, Government, Business & Education Tech Expo '97, "Records Management"
EXHIBIT B
NOTE: The City of Lodi is now using the online insurance program PINS Advantage. Once you have been
awarded a contract you will receive an email from the City's online insurance program requesting you to
forward the email to your insurance provider(s). Please see attached flyer regarding PINS Advantage.
Jnsurance Re_[t.uiremints for Contractor The Contractor shall take out and maintain during the life of this
Agreement, insurance coverage as listed below. These insurance policies shall protect Contractor and any
subcontractor performing work covered by this Agreement from claims for damages for personal injury, including
accidental death, as well as from claims for property damages, which may arise from Contractor's operations under
this Agreement, whether such operations be by Contractor, or by any subcontractor, or by anyone directly or
indirectly employed by either of them. In the event Contractor's insurance cannot fully cover any hired subconsultants,
the terms of insurance herein shall be requirements for the subconsultant. The amount of such insurance shall be as
follows:
1. COMPREHENSIVE GENERAL LIABILITY
$1,000,000 Each Occurrence
$3,000,000 General Aggregate
2. COMPREHENSIVE AUTOMOBILE LIABILITY
$1,000,000 Combined Single Limit
Such insurance shall cover liability arising out of any vehicle (including, owned, hired and non -hired vehicles)
operated in performing any and all services pursuant to this Agreement. Coverage shall be written on ISO form
CA 00 01 12 90, or a later version, that provides liability coverage at least as broad as this form.
3. PROFESSIONAL LIABILITY / ERRORS AND OMISSIONS
$1,000,000 Each Claim/Aggregate
When project specific insurance is required, all limits are to be designated strictly for the City of Lodi, its elected
and appointed boards, commissions, officers, agents, employees, and volunteers. All deductibles or self-insured
retentions (SIR) must be disclosed to City's Risk Manager for approval and shall not reduce the limits of liability set
forth hereinabove. Insurance policies containing any deductible or SIR provision shall provide, or be endorsed to
provide, that the deductible or SIR may be satisfied by either the Named Insured(s) or the City of Lodi.
It is required that any available insurance proceeds broader than or in excess of the specified minimum insurance
coverage requirements and/or limits set forth above, shall be available to City as an additional insured. Furthermore,
the requirements for coverage and limits shall be (i) the minimum coverage and limits specified in these insurance
requirements; or (ii) the broader coverage and maximum limits of coverage of any insurance policy or proceeds
available to the Contractor; whichever is greater.
Contractor agrees and stipulates that any insurance coverage provided to the City of Lodi shall provide for a claims
period following termination of coverage which is at least consistent with the claims period or statutes of limitations
found in the California Tort Claims Act (California Government Code Section 810 et seq.).
A copy of the certificate(s) of insurance with the following endorsements shall be furnished to the City:
(a) Additional Named Insured Endorsement
Pursuant to a separate endorsement (ISO form CG 2010 (11/85) or a later version, that provides commercial
general liability coverage at least as broad as this form) such insurance as is afforded by this policy shall also
apply to the City of Lodi, its elected and appointed boards, commissions, officers, agents, employees, and
volunteers as additional named insureds. An additional named insured endorsement is also required for Auto
Liability.
(b) Primary and Non -Contributory Insurance Endorsement
Additional insurance coverage under the Contractor's commercial general liability and automobile liability policy
shall be "primary and non-contributory" and will not seek contribution from City's insurance or self-insurance and
shall be at least as broad as ISO form CG 20 01 04 13.
NOTE: (1) The street address of the CITY OF LODI must be shown along with (a) and (b) above: 221 West Pine
Street, Lodi, California, 95240; (2) The insurance certificate must state, on its face or as an endorsement, a
description of the proiect that it is insuring.
Page 1 of 2 pages Risk: rev.08.28.2017
Insurancg Reauiremgits for Contractor (continued)
(c)
Waiver of Subrogation
Include a waiver of subrogation against the City of Lodi, its elected and appointed boards, commissions,
officers, agents, employees, and volunteers. A waiver is required for General Liability and Auto Liability.
(d) Limits of Coverage
The limits of insurance coverage required may be satisfied by a combination of primary and umbrella or excess
insurance. Any umbrella or excess insurance of Contractor shall contain, or be endorsed to contain, a provision
that such coverage shall also apply on a primary and non-contributory basis for the benefit of the City before the
City's own insurance or self-insurance shall be called upon to protect the City as a named insured.
(e) Severability of Interest Clause
The term "insured" is used severally and not collectively, but the inclusion herein of more than one insured shall
not operate to increase the limit of the company's liability under the Contractors commercial general liability and
automobile liability policies.
(f)
(g)
Notice of Cancellation or Change in Coverage Endorsement
This policy may not be canceled nor the coverage reduced by the company without 30 days' prior written
notice of such cancellation or reduction in coverage to the Risk Manager, City of Lodi, 221 West Pine St., Lodi,
CA 95240.
Continuity of Coverage
All policies shall be in effect on or before the first day of the Term of this Agreement. At least thirty (30) days
prior to the expiration of each insurance policy, Contractor shall furnish a certificate(s) showing that a new or
extended policy has been obtained which meets the minimum requirements of this Agreement. Contractor shall
provide proof of continuing insurance on at least an annual basis during the Term. If Contractor's insurance
lapses or is discontinued for any reason, Contractor shall immediately notify the City and immediately obtain
replacement insurance.
(h) Failure to Comply
If Contractor fails or refuses to obtain and maintain the required insurance, or fails to provide proof of coverage,
the City may obtain the insurance. Contractor shall reimburse the City for premiums paid, with interest on the
premium paid by the City at the maximum allowable legal rate then in effect in California. The City shall notify
Contractor of such payment of premiums within thirty (30) days of payment stating the amount paid, the name(s)
of the insurer(s), and rate of interest. Contractor shall pay such reimbursement and interest on the first (1st) day
of the month following the City's notice. Notwithstanding any other provision of this Agreement, if Contractor
fails or refuses to obtain or maintain insurance as required by this agreement, or fails to provide proof of
insurance, the City may terminate this Agreement upon such breach. Upon such termination, Contractor shall
immediately cease use of the Site or facilities and commence and diligently pursue the removal of any and all of
its personal property from the site or facilities.
(i) qualified Insurers)
All insurance required by the terms of this Agreement must be provided by insurers licensed to do business in
the State of California which are rated at least "A-, VI" by the AM Best Ratings Guide, and which are acceptable
to the City. Non -admitted surplus lines carriers may be accepted provided they are included on the most recent
list of California eligible surplus lines insurers (LESLI list) and otherwise meet City requirements.
Workers Comwnsation Insuragce The Contractor shall take out and maintain during the life of this Agreement,
Worker's Compensation Insurance for all of Contractor's employees employed at the site of the project and, if any
work is sublet, Contractor shall require the subcontractor similarly to provide Worker's Compensation Insurance for all
of the latter's employees unless such employees are covered by the protection afforded by the Contractor. In case
any class of employees engaged in hazardous work under this Agreement at the site of the project is not protected
under the Worker's Compensation Statute, the Contractor shall provide and shall cause each subcontractor to
provide insurance for the protection of said employees. A waiver of subrogation is required for workers
compensation insurance. This policy may not be canceled nor the coverage reduced without 30 days' prior written
notice of such cancellation or reduction in coverage to the Risk Manager, City of Lodi, 221 West Pine St., Lodi, CA
95240.
NOTE: The City reserves the right to obtain a full certified copy of any insurance policy or endorsements
required. Failure to exercise this right shall not constitute a waiver of the City's right to exercise after the
effective date.
Page 2 1 of 2 pages Risk: rev.08.28.2017
RESOLUTION NO. 2017-224
A RESOLUTION OF THE LODI CITY COUNCIL
AUTHORIZING THE CITY MANAGER TO EXECUTE A
PROFESSIONAL SERVICES AGREEMENT WITH
NATIONAL DEMOGRAPHIC CORPORATION, OF GLENDALE,
FOR DEMOGRAPHIC SERVICES REGARDING THE
TRANSITION TO BY -DISTRICT ELECTIONS
WHEREAS, should the City Council adopt the "Resolution of Intention" to transition from
"at -large" to "by -district" elections, the City will require expertise in the areas of demographic
and election history profiles, an analysis of racially polarized voting, and drawing proposed
election districts based on public input; and
WHEREAS, staff recommends that the City Council authorize the City Manager to
execute a Professional Services Agreement with National Demographic Corporation, of
Glendale, to provide the above -referenced services in an amount not to exceed $50,000.
NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED that the Lodi City Council does hereby authorize
the City Manager to execute a Professional Services Agreement with National Demographic
Corporation, of Glendale, California, to provide the above -referenced services in an amount not
to exceed $50,000.
Dated: December 12, 2017
I hereby certify that Resolution No. 2017-224 was passed and adopted by the City
Council of the City of Lodi in a special meeting held December 12, 2017, by the following vote:
AYES: COUNCIL MEMBERS — Chandler, Johnson, Kuehne, Mounce, and
Mayor Nakanishi
NOES: COUNCIL MEMBERS — None
ABSENT: COUNCIL MEMBERS — None
ABSTAIN: COUNCIL MEMBERS — None
MA
NNIFER tyl. FERRAIOLO
City Clerk
2017-224