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1/30/81,
TRANSIT STUDY
D KA
PERSONS WITHIN POTENTIAL FIXED ROUTE SERVICE ARES'. (1980) (1)
Traffic Zone P®pulation
Traffic zone
Population
42,0104
419
43.0203
1173
05
812
04
1650
42®0202
1.282
43.0401.
998
03
82
44.0001
1329
04
1583
02
730
05
1497
04
480
06
1.286
05
780
07
454
06
799
08
493
07
20
09
946
08
568
43m0201
1.568
45.0006
1113
02
1.1.39
07
2035
Proposed'Service Area Total
Population = 22,414
(1) Data from 1980 Socio;-Ecomn.c Projections used by Caltrans
In their .traffic nndel (updated 2/79)
PERSONS WITH INCOM �
.. $10,000
47.3 1 x 22,414
10,602
people .in proposed area
ERSONS AGE 62 AND OVER
t.T. 42.01
(1.,231
pop.)x(lo%) (2) -
123
C.T. 42.02
(7,623
pop.)x(20.3%) =
1,548
C.T. 43.02
(5,530
pop.)x(24.8%)
1,371
C.T. 43.04
( 998
pop.)x(12.5%)
125
C.T. 44.00
(4,706
pop.)x(19.7%)
927
C.T. 45.00
(2,1.48
pop.) x(25.90
556
Transit Study Area --
Total Elderly
4,650
(1.) Inventory and Needs Analysis for the City of Lodi,
JHK and Associates, 1976, p 25.
(2) ibid, p 59.
a
POPULATION TO RIDERSHIP FACTOR rOR MODIFYING ITE MODEL TO
MEET EXISTING REGIONAL USE (1979) -:
Location (Riders) (Total _Population) = Annual_person trips
Merced
1540090 0
33,750
4®566
Tracy
60,512 V
16,404
3®690
Turlock
56,804 a
23,054
2®464
COMBINED
271.,406
73,200
3.708
(ITE) Public Transp2rtation Demand E ation
Original ITE Equation
a=(12 (SR® POP.) +19 (NON Sat. LOW XNCOMS POP.) )/.80,WHEREm
D = Transit demand in one-way trips per year.
12 m The number of annual per capita trips
generated by the elderly.
Sr. Pop. Senior citizen (over 60 years old) population
without access to a private vehicle.
1.9 The number of annual, per capita trips
generated by low income persons.
Non'Sr. Low
Income Pop. = Low to moderate income population that is 'not
elderly and does not have access to a private
.vehicle.
®80 = The demand ratio generated by the two groups
which expands the model to all of the population.
D _ (12 (4,650) + 19 (10,602 - 4,650) } (®80) 711ollO
83,111 .393686
2�t}
w2r
a
Ridership (.393686 x 12 = 4.72 Annual Trips per Senior Citizm
Factors (.393686 x 19 = 7.48 Annual Trips per Non Senior Citizen - row mrxMM
D (4472 (4,650) + 7.40 (10,602 - 61,650) ) 41 (®80) = 83,086
(83,086) x (®20) - 1.6,614 Trips by DAR
1838086) p- (16,614) = 66,472 Trips. by pixed haute
Thwe projections are for areas served by two proposed fixed routes
and are- based on system which have bem in operation more than 3
years. . Actual ridership will probably be less than 50% of projections:
at the end of a one-year demonstration pxogram.
SYSTEM COSTS
Asis : 1. -16 passenger vans with a backup vehicle;
2 Twelve hoar service day:
3m Annual service days equal, 250®
4® dourly vehicle cost = $254 $20, $18, or $160-
(2
16®
(2 vans)
(12 hours)
(250
days)
($25) -
$150,000
annual
cost
(2 vans)
(12 hours)
(250
days)
($20) -
$120,000
annual
cost
(2 vans)
(1.2 hours)
(250
days)
($1.$) -
$1.00,000
annual.
cost
(2 .vans)
(12 hours)
(250
days)
($16)
$ 96,000
annual
cost.
Judging
by bids received
by Stanisl.aus
flaunty for fixed = .
route service, the
most
likely
cost per hour should be
some-
A, 11 :.
where between $1.8 and $20
per
vehicle,
say:
;
:,:
$1208000
annual
cost
•_ .'''
Farebox
return:
($1200000) (10% TDA requirement) $1.2, 000
$12,000) (66,472 x 50%) 36 cents per passenger avg"
-3-
ch
a°
0
. Recomended fare structure-.
50 cents for general riders;
35 cents for seniors and handicapped
RECCE DATIONS to implement fixed route transit service
e T 1-t-y--o-fLodi:
1® Service should be provided tender a one-year feasi-
bility demonstration program;
e Through the RrP process, a private operator should
be contracted with to provide a complete fixed
.route transit systems
3® Service should be available to the general public,
with a reduced fare for senior citizens and 'physi-
cally handicapped persons;
® Existing dial-aY-ride transportation service should
be continued for seniors and physically handi-
capped persons who are unable to use a fixed route
system;
5® Fixed routing should utilize two vehicles on super-
imposed circular routes, there should be at least
one additional vehicle available for backup in case
of breakdowns;
bW Fixed routes should be generally confined to the
central portion of Dodi where most elderly and low
income families reside, while DAR would be avail-
able
vai.l-able to eligible persons living outside the fixed
route service area;
7® Fixed route service should be implemented utilizing
maxi -vans or mini. -buses, lift equipped®
8. Operational policies should be developed to assist
the City Council, in evaluation of the transit sys-
tem's performance® These policies should be
detailed enough to guide a !tanager through the daily
decisions required for a smooth operation. They
should not be so inflexible as to prevent a Manager
from making minor changes to scheduling, routing,
etc® necessary for operational. improvement/refine-
ment;
ME
o
Y` `1
® Service headways should be no greater than thirty
minutes;
10. Final determination of transit reed and reasonable-
.ness should be made at`the end of the demonstration.
Though final determination is the responsibility of
the S.J.C.C.O®G®, Lodi should also have a written
definition of need and reasonableness for their own
uidanee®
Kettleman &
715
745
815
845
915
945
1015
1045 1115
1145 1215 1245 115 145
215
245 315 345 415 445
515
545
615
645
Hutchins
G Hutchins &
Lodi
725
755
825
655
925
955
1025
1055 1125
1155 1225 1255-125 155.225
255 325 355 425455
525
5W625
655
ROUTE 2
=�
(R do, wn)
q Church & Elm
700am
730
800
830
900
930
1000
1030 1100
1130 1200pm 1230 100 130
200
230 300 330 400 430
500
530
600
630 700q. 3
Q Kett.lemsn &
710
740
810
840
910
940
3010
1040 1210
1140 1210 1240 1.10 140
210
240 310 340 410 440
510
540
610
640
Hutchins
C Hutchins &
715
745
815
845
915
945
1.015
1045 3.115
1145 1215 1245 115 345
215
245 315 345 415 445
515
545
615
645
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